Behind the Curve: The Extreme Severity of New York City’s First Pandemic Wave by Bill Hammond
August 30, 2023
Summary
In the first wave of the coronavirus pandemic, New York City faced one of the most lethal outbreaks worldwide, resulting in almost 23,000 deaths in just three months. During its peak from March 19 to June 10, 2020, NYC's Covid-19 death rate surpassed 85% of the world's countries. New data reveals that NYC's outbreak began and peaked much earlier than initially thought. Retrospective analysis indicates the infection rate reached its height around March 19, three weeks before previously believed. This early spread underscores the importance of prompt detection and response.
When compared globally, NYC's 12-week mortality rate in spring 2020 was the second highest, trailing only Mexico City. The harshness of this outbreak not only placed a massive strain on the city's healthcare system but also emphasized the significance of curbing virus spread.
Several factors contributed to the city's vulnerability, such as high tourism, busy streets, and a comprehensive transit system. Federal government delays and testing kit issues further blinded local officials. While these factors may provide context, they don't excuse the city's unpreparedness.
Despite the evident need, the state has yet to conduct a thorough review of its pandemic response. Calls for an independent commission with full investigative powers have been made to ensure future preparedness. It's crucial for New York to fortify its public health defenses to prevent facing similar devastation in potential future outbreaks.
